Ryne Nelson
AZ • P • Throws R • 2026 Season
Yahoo eligible: SP, RP
Value
Standard score (σ), not a percentile, vs all qualified pitchers — 0 = average, +1 = one standard deviation above the mean. Built from 5x5 category z-scores (like Baseball Monster).
Control & Efficiency
Strike-throwing and length profile — drives the Likely-QS / High-K/BB start flags. The bar under each stat is this pitcher's percentile vs 240 qualified MLB starters (100th = best — already direction-adjusted, so a low BB% or P/PA scores high).
Arsenal
Throwing hand and pitch mix (share of pitches thrown) — the traits the matchup ratings below weigh against each opponent's splits.
Primary pitch: 4-Seam Fastball (74%)
Season Stats
The big number is the actual stat. The bar below it is this pitcher's percentile vs 451 qualified MLB pitchers (≥30 IP) this season — 100th = best, direction-adjusted (a low ERA/WHIP/BB scores high).
Splits & Tendencies
How this pitcher fares by batter hand, venue, opponent lineup quality (elite→poor offenses), and over the last 30 days. Lower ERA/WHIP is better; OPS-against shows for the hand/venue splits. Hover a tag for the numbers.
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OPS-agst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | 44.2 | — | 1.14 | 5.4 | 2.4 | .746 |
Luck Factor
How much this pitcher's results are outrunning or trailing the quality of what actually happened — league-relative. Hover a meter for the inputs.
Next 2 Starts
Confirmed = announced probable; Projected = inferred from the rotation (every ~5th team game) and subject to change.
Game Log (16 games)
| Date | Opp | Dec | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | vs Miami Marlins | - | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
| Jun 15 | vs Los Angeles Angels | W | 7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 95 |
| Jun 10 | @ Miami Marlins | L | 4 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 82 |
| Jun 4 | vs Los Angeles Dodgers | - | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 94 |
| May 30 | @ Seattle Mariners | L | 5.1 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 99 |
| May 24 | vs Colorado Rockies | W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 103 |
| May 19 | vs San Francisco Giants | - | 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 88 |
| May 13 | @ Texas Rangers | - | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 88 |
| May 8 | vs New York Mets | - | 6.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 95 |
| May 2 | @ Chicago Cubs | L | 5.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 84 |
| Apr 26 | vs San Diego Padres | - | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 93 |
| Apr 19 | vs Toronto Blue Jays | L | 0.1 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 |
| Apr 13 | @ Baltimore Orioles | - | 5.1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 92 |
| Apr 8 | @ New York Mets | W | 5.2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 86 |
| Apr 2 | vs Atlanta Braves | L | 4.2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 80 |
| Mar 27 | @ Los Angeles Dodgers | - | 4.2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 83 |