Connelly Early
BOS • P • Throws L • 2026 Season
Yahoo eligible: SP
Value
Standard score (σ), not a percentile, vs all qualified pitchers — 0 = average, +1 = one standard deviation above the mean. Built from 5x5 category z-scores (like Baseball Monster).
Consensus Rank
Composite of 1 in-season expert ranking sources (FantasyPros ROS consensus + Pitcher List) — blended so it matches no single site, ranked among pitchers (lower = better).
Control & Efficiency
Strike-throwing and length profile — drives the Likely-QS / High-K/BB start flags. The bar under each stat is this pitcher's percentile vs 207 qualified MLB starters (100th = best — already direction-adjusted, so a low BB% or P/PA scores high).
Arsenal
Throwing hand and pitch mix (share of pitches thrown) — the traits the matchup ratings below weigh against each opponent's splits.
Primary pitch: 4-Seam Fastball (48%)
Season Stats
The big number is the actual stat. The bar below it is this pitcher's percentile vs 385 qualified MLB pitchers (≥30 IP) this season — 100th = best, direction-adjusted (a low ERA/WHIP/BB scores high).
Splits & Tendencies
How this pitcher fares by batter hand, venue, opponent lineup quality (elite→poor offenses), and over the last 30 days. Lower ERA/WHIP is better; OPS-against shows for the hand/venue splits. Hover a tag for the numbers.
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 |
|---|
Luck Factor
How much this pitcher's results are outrunning or trailing the quality of what actually happened — league-relative. Hover a meter for the inputs.
Next 3 Starts
Confirmed = announced probable; Projected = inferred from the rotation (every ~5th team game) and subject to change.
Game Log (17 games)
| Date | Opp | Dec | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30 | vs Washington Nationals | - | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 61 |
| Jun 25 | vs New York Yankees | W | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 98 |
| Jun 20 | @ Seattle Mariners | W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 98 |
| Jun 14 | vs Texas Rangers | L | 4.2 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 91 |
| Jun 8 | @ Tampa Bay Rays | L | 4.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 96 |
| Jun 2 | vs Baltimore Orioles | L | 5.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 96 |
| May 27 | vs Atlanta Braves | W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 97 |
| May 20 | @ Kansas City Royals | W | 6.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 93 |
| May 15 | @ Atlanta Braves | - | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 86 |
| May 8 | vs Tampa Bay Rays | W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 96 |
| May 2 | vs Houston Astros | L | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 77 |
| Apr 26 | @ Baltimore Orioles | W | 6.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 92 |
| Apr 21 | vs New York Yankees | L | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 92 |
| Apr 15 | @ Minnesota Twins | W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 85 |
| Apr 10 | @ St. Louis Cardinals | - | 4.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 86 |
| Apr 4 | vs San Diego Padres | - | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 88 |
| Mar 29 | @ Cincinnati Reds | - | 5.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 96 |