Aaron Civale
CHC • P • Throws R • 2026 Season
Yahoo eligible: SP, RP
Value
Standard score (σ), not a percentile, vs all qualified pitchers — 0 = average, +1 = one standard deviation above the mean. Built from 5x5 category z-scores (like Baseball Monster).
Control & Efficiency
Strike-throwing and length profile — drives the Likely-QS / High-K/BB start flags. The bar under each stat is this pitcher's percentile vs 207 qualified MLB starters (100th = best — already direction-adjusted, so a low BB% or P/PA scores high).
Arsenal
Throwing hand and pitch mix (share of pitches thrown) — the traits the matchup ratings below weigh against each opponent's splits.
Primary pitch: Cutter (45%)
Season Stats
The big number is the actual stat. The bar below it is this pitcher's percentile vs 385 qualified MLB pitchers (≥30 IP) this season — 100th = best, direction-adjusted (a low ERA/WHIP/BB scores high).
Splits & Tendencies
How this pitcher fares by batter hand, venue, opponent lineup quality (elite→poor offenses), and over the last 30 days. Lower ERA/WHIP is better; OPS-against shows for the hand/venue splits. Hover a tag for the numbers.
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 |
|---|
Luck Factor
How much this pitcher's results are outrunning or trailing the quality of what actually happened — league-relative. Hover a meter for the inputs.
Next 3 Starts
Confirmed = announced probable; Projected = inferred from the rotation (every ~5th team game) and subject to change.
Game Log (20 games)
| Date | Opp | Dec | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2 | vs New York Yankees | - | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| Jul 30 | @ St. Louis Cardinals | - | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| Jul 26 | @ Pittsburgh Pirates | - | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| Jul 21 | vs Detroit Tigers | - | 2.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 47 |
| Jul 10 | @ Chicago White Sox | L | 2.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 58 |
| Jul 4 | vs Miami Marlins | L | 4.2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 84 |
| Jun 28 | @ Los Angeles Angels | L | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 90 |
| Jun 23 | @ San Francisco Giants | L | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 84 |
| Jun 17 | vs Pittsburgh Pirates | L | 3 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 71 |
| May 25 | vs Seattle Mariners | L | 4 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 73 |
| May 20 | @ Los Angeles Angels | - | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 61 |
| May 15 | vs San Francisco Giants | W | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 76 |
| May 9 | @ Baltimore Orioles | W | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 97 |
| May 3 | vs Cleveland Guardians | W | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 93 |
| Apr 28 | vs Kansas City Royals | - | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 87 |
| Apr 22 | @ Seattle Mariners | - | 5.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 85 |
| Apr 17 | vs Chicago White Sox | L | 4.2 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 103 |
| Apr 12 | @ New York Mets | W | 5.2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 75 |
| Apr 7 | @ New York Yankees | - | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 88 |
| Mar 31 | @ Atlanta Braves | W | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 87 |