Aaron Nola
PHI • P • Throws R • 2026 Season
Yahoo eligible: SP
Value
Standard score (σ), not a percentile, vs all qualified pitchers — 0 = average, +1 = one standard deviation above the mean. Built from 5x5 category z-scores (like Baseball Monster).
Consensus Rank
Composite of 1 in-season expert ranking sources (FantasyPros ROS consensus + Pitcher List) — blended so it matches no single site, ranked among pitchers (lower = better).
Control & Efficiency
Strike-throwing and length profile — drives the Likely-QS / High-K/BB start flags. The bar under each stat is this pitcher's percentile vs 207 qualified MLB starters (100th = best — already direction-adjusted, so a low BB% or P/PA scores high).
Arsenal
Throwing hand and pitch mix (share of pitches thrown) — the traits the matchup ratings below weigh against each opponent's splits.
Primary pitch: Curveball (36%)
Season Stats
The big number is the actual stat. The bar below it is this pitcher's percentile vs 385 qualified MLB pitchers (≥30 IP) this season — 100th = best, direction-adjusted (a low ERA/WHIP/BB scores high).
Splits & Tendencies
How this pitcher fares by batter hand, venue, opponent lineup quality (elite→poor offenses), and over the last 30 days. Lower ERA/WHIP is better; OPS-against shows for the hand/venue splits. Hover a tag for the numbers.
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 |
|---|
Luck Factor
How much this pitcher's results are outrunning or trailing the quality of what actually happened — league-relative. Hover a meter for the inputs.
Next 3 Starts
Confirmed = announced probable; Projected = inferred from the rotation (every ~5th team game) and subject to change.
Game Log (23 games)
| Date | Opp | Dec | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3 | vs Washington Nationals | - | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 97 |
| Jul 28 | @ Miami Marlins | L | 5.2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 93 |
| Jul 22 | vs Los Angeles Dodgers | L | 5.1 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 85 |
| Jul 16 | vs New York Mets | L | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 97 |
| Jul 10 | @ Detroit Tigers | - | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 84 |
| Jul 5 | @ Kansas City Royals | L | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 98 |
| Jun 29 | vs Pittsburgh Pirates | L | 4.1 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 86 |
| Jun 24 | @ Washington Nationals | - | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 86 |
| Jun 18 | vs New York Mets | - | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 97 |
| Jun 13 | @ Milwaukee Brewers | - | 4.2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 85 |
| Jun 7 | vs Chicago White Sox | - | 4.1 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 98 |
| Jun 2 | vs San Diego Padres | - | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 95 |
| May 26 | @ San Diego Padres | W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 80 |
| May 20 | vs Cincinnati Reds | L | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 77 |
| May 15 | @ Pittsburgh Pirates | - | 3.2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 80 |
| May 9 | vs Colorado Rockies | - | 4.2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 94 |
| May 4 | @ Miami Marlins | W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 94 |
| Apr 26 | @ Atlanta Braves | L | 4.2 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 101 |
| Apr 20 | @ Chicago Cubs | L | 4.1 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 88 |
| Apr 14 | vs Chicago Cubs | - | 5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 87 |
| Apr 8 | @ San Francisco Giants | L | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 84 |
| Apr 3 | @ Colorado Rockies | W | 6.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 95 |
| Mar 28 | vs Texas Rangers | - | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 91 |